|ESPN (Photo credit: Wikipedia)|
Recently, ESPN released it's "Football Power Index 2015". The contents provide additional evidence to backup the pro-SEC bias theory. For instance, 5 of the top 10 and 8 of the top 20 teams are SEC schools. The next most represented conference is the PAC-12 with only 2 in the top 10 and 4 in the top 20. You can view the index in it's entirety by clicking here.
The index ranks 128 teams using a number of factors to predict each one's performance for the upcoming college football season. However, I will focus on only 2 - Tennessee (UT) and Florida State (FSU). My reason for doing so is because I am a FSU fan living in Tennessee.
Let's start with UT. The index ranks them #14 predicting their won-loss record will be 8.8-3.4. I'll add a slight adjustment for rounding, for simplification, making their "predicted" record, based upon a 12-game schedule, either 8-4 or 9-3.
|English: Logo of the Southeastern Conference (SEC). (Photo credit: Wikipedia)|
- 2012 - 5-7 overall, 1-7 SEC,
- 2013 - 5-7 overall, 2-6 SEC, and
- 2014 - 7-6 overall, 3-5 SEC.
- they play Georgia and Oklahoma at home,
- they travel to "The Swamp" to receive their annual beating from the Gators,
- they travel to Alabama and Missouri after both played in the SEC Championship game last year, and
- they play Arkansas at home, who very easily could have won 4 more games last year and finished 10-2. Arkansas lost to Alabama by 1, and Texas A&M, Missisippi State, and Georgia by a touchdown each. All 4 of those teams were ranked in the top 10 when the games were played. Mississippi State was ranked #1 at the time.
Now, let's look at FSU. The index ranks them #19 predicting their won-loss record will be 9.6-2.8. Once again, I'll add a slight adjustment for rounding making their "predicted" record, based upon a 12-game schedule, either 9-3 or 10-2.
As an FSU fan, I would love to see that prediction come true, but I don't think it will. They have a new quarterback and have sent 29 players to the NFL in the last 3 years, which by the way is a NCAA record. It's hard to replace that much talent in one year. I think if FSU finishes 8-4, they will have had a good year, because I see the potential for 4 losses against Miami, Clemson, Louisville, and Georgia Tech. If they can somehow win those 4 games, win the ACC Atlantic Division, and reach the ACC Title Game, it will have been a great year.
As with UT, let's look at their record for the last 3 years:
- 2012 - 12-2 overall, 7-1 ACC, won ACC Championship and won the Orange Bowl
- 2013 - 14-0 overall, 8-0 ACC, won ACC Championship and National Championship, and
- 2014 - 13-1 overall, 8-0 ACC, won ACC Championship and qualified for the playoffs.
I'm sure I'll catch some heat over this article from the SEC faithful. I realize that sometimes the truth is hard to accept but the case is now closed.